Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.638941 3.872548 4.123475 4.414854 4.746251 5.114344 5.558285
2025-03-09 3.230909 3.532859 3.874446 4.295148 4.807698 5.423744 6.240070
2025-03-16 2.876694 3.207133 3.595370 4.095525 4.739562 5.567741 6.764964
2025-03-23 2.670418 3.032375 3.473464 4.067929 4.879267 6.004172 7.810548
2025-03-30 2.481297 2.860119 3.335944 4.002537 4.961108 6.389042 8.947021
2025-04-06 2.305023 2.688645 3.182357 3.896534 4.970772 6.678975 10.090313
2025-04-13 2.136907 2.514702 3.009911 3.744197 4.889011 6.811638 11.050025
2025-04-20 2.053238 2.445219 2.972014 3.780588 5.108321 7.532124 13.851800
2025-04-27 1.983180 2.388375 2.946016 3.831350 5.364077 8.429056 18.322227
2025-05-04 1.933465 2.355370 2.950495 3.930060 5.729055 9.745194 27.579589
2025-05-11 1.870747 2.299455 2.916058 3.961106 5.978700 10.962831 43.685496
2025-05-18 1.796839 2.222734 2.843913 3.919557 6.076533 11.864225 71.524121
2025-05-25 1.704292 2.119097 2.730995 3.809459 6.042680 12.498114 138.218740
2025-06-01 1.635640 2.046910 2.662368 3.772078 6.170023 13.876987 NaN
2025-06-08 1.556359 1.954931 2.556355 3.655333 6.091815 14.477452 NaN
2025-06-15 1.509271 1.908611 2.520412 3.666429 6.335090 16.925562 NaN
2025-06-22 1.458679 1.854255 2.467483 3.638943 6.478888 19.316177 NaN
2025-06-29 1.404759 1.792153 2.397649 3.570465 6.497870 21.176523 NaN
2025-07-06 1.346860 1.721417 2.309288 3.456052 6.362202 21.798241 NaN
2025-07-13 1.320258 1.697845 2.298932 3.500438 6.713503 28.171241 NaN
2025-07-20 1.296977 1.678177 2.293713 3.555242 7.128639 39.494901 NaN
2025-07-27 1.280991 1.669088 2.306059 3.650283 7.737507 70.458218 NaN
2025-08-03 1.257111 1.646119 2.292095 3.684829 8.156754 141.631706 NaN